Friday, June 10, 2011

Warren Buffett, Earnings and the Consumer Monopoly for Your Small Business


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Take a look at Coke’s earnings per share for the past 10 years. Now look again. What do you see?

Year

EPS

1999

$1.30

2000

$1.48

2001

$1.60

2002

$1.23

2003

$1.77

2004

$2.00

2005

$2.04

2006

$2.16

2007

$2.57

2008

$2.49

2009

$2.93

Although some bumps in the road exist, in 2002 for instance earnings per share dropped from the previous year’s $1.60 to $1.23, I see a strong, steady and growing track record of earnings. Overall, for this historic 10-year period, the earnings per share for Coke have been growing at a relatively steady 13.7%. This picture of steady, consistent and growing earnings is imperative to the small business income statement if you want to build a business that Warren Buffett would want to buy.

In the realm of small business, the earnings number will not necessarily be on a per share basis, but you can easily see the earnings picture using historic income statement or tax returns.

Year

Earnings

1999

$ 10,000

2000

$ 10,500

2001

$ 11,000

2002

$ 10,250

2003

$ 11,100

2004

$ 11,750

2005

$ 12,000

2006

$ 11,500

2007

$ 12,100

2008

$ 12,500

2009

$ 12,400

Ideally, as in the case of Coke’s earnings per share, you will see an earnings level that is relatively consistent and growing over time.

And What We Do Not Want to See …

Below is the earnings per share record for a large technology company. Take a look at this earnings track record and note the roller coaster ride.

Year

EPS

2001

-$0.36

2002

$0.04

2003

$0.58

2004

$0.00

2005

$0.96

2006

$4.04

2007

$0.40

2008

$0.57

2009

$1.95

2010

$3.85

2011

$7.88



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