- The Bottom of a Current Rising Cycle That Is Part of a Longer-Term Downward Cycle
- Current Cycles That Are Close to the Yearly High
As it relates to point one, always check the long term cycle. The stock could in fact be in a prolonged downward cycle and therefore, not an optimal investment. Make sure to check the one-year price chart, draw in the trend lines, top first and then bottom for a downward trend, in order to verify the cycle. A stock typically has broken out of a downward cycle when it has substantially broken the top downward trend line and continued up for a number of months ... at least three typically.
Number two essentially means do not buy a stock that has ascended in a straight stair fashion to its yearly high. If it has gone straight up and you are now close to a 52 week high, look elsewhere.
Again, all of this is covered in a great book on option writing, Covered Calls and LEAPS, a Wealth Option.
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